[90599] The ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran is in danger: escalation in Lebanon and freezing of contacts

The attempts to implement the framework of understandings between the US and Iran encountered significant difficulties on June 19, when official contacts planned in Switzerland were canceled or postponed. According to reports by Медуза — LIVE, Iran conditioned the continuation of the talks on guarantees for an end to the fighting in Lebanon. On the other hand, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated, as reported in КОНТЕКСТ, that Israel will not withdraw from the "security zone" in southern Lebanon and will continue to respond to any threat from Hezbollah.

President Donald Trump reacted bluntly to the disruptions in the contacts. In a post he published on Truth Social and quoted by SHOT, Trump attacked Iran and claimed: "They won't get a single cent." Trump emphasized that he is "controlling the situation" and claimed in an interview with Axios that without his intervention, Israel would have been destroyed. However, he added that he must "keep Netanyahu within the framework of sanity."

Various sources pointed to the complex dynamics between the powers: while Рыбарь noted that the removal of the naval blockade on Iran led to a certain drop in fuel prices in the US, entities such as Colonelcassad described the situation as a failure of American diplomacy. At the same time, reports on CNN suggested that the US conveyed messages to Iran that Israel does not intend to expand its strikes, but on the ground, extensive IDF strikes were reported in Lebanon in response to deaths in its ranks.

According to an analysis by Политика Страны, this is "Trump's diplomacy," which attempts to resolve specific issues while delaying core issues. The current situation leaves Israel in a position where it does not consider itself bound by understandings it was not a party to, which creates increasing friction with the Trump administration, as expressed in the words of Vice President J.D. Vance, who warned Israel not to attack its "only ally" (according to a report in Altruist News).